Trego's Mountain Ear

I found Sabato’s Crystal Ball .  It’s the place where election predictions are made.  Right now, it tells me that a year from now, 50 senators will be repugnants, 47 will be dims, and 3 are, at present, toss-ups.  Since Sabato classifies Montana as a toss-up state, it means our votes can make a difference.  Tester’s ads tell me that he’s a dirt-farmer, and Sheehy’s ads tell me that he was a Seal and started his own business.  At least we have one Senate election where our individual votes can affect someone.  So can folks in Arizona and Ohio.    

Sabato doesn’t see any choice for western Montanans in the election for the House of Representatives – Zinke beat Tranel two years ago, and Montana’s first district leans Republican. 

President?  Right now, Sabado figures the 2024 election will be decided by Nevada, Arizona, Wisconsin and Georgia voters.  A year out, and the money is that only 43 electoral votes are in play.  If Georgia goes dim, we get a dim President.  Today’s map shows that 3 out of four tossup states have to go red to deliver the presidency to the repugnants.

This article is short because it shows how firmly divided our nation is.  The link is there to follow – and, it’s worth remembering that the United States has had one third party candidate elected President.  His name was Lincoln.