Trego's Mountain Ear

"Serving North Lincoln County"

Tag: Trego Montana

  • Professor Mikey- The Early Years

    Professor Mikey- The Early Years

    A friend’s photograph, from the early years of our marriage – at the first stop in my career in academia, teaching at Trinidad State Junior College.  A T-shirt that came in a Christmas package from my mother that is recognizable, as is the Oldsmobile.  The photograph is a bit out of focus, and I suspect that, over the years, the memories are also a bit out of focus.

    At Trinidad State, with an entire department dedicated to gunsmithing, and the NRA Whittington center just across the pass in Raton, my hobby interest in firearms could grow.  As a teacher, when Kelly Vigil asked, “Why can’t we do it this way?” I had the time, and reason to answer the question – when I had been designing irrigation systems, I had just done things as I had been taught.  As a teacher, I had time and space to discover why.

    Below the college library was a place of magic – earlier TSJC had offered an Associate’s program in museum management.  While the degree was no longer offered, the practical museum was still there – and the artifacts and bones from the Folsom excavations were mine to inspect and appreciate, just because I was the one faculty member interested in archaeology of the Southwest.

    As I look at my own artifacts, I notice my switchblade – given to me by my student Gonzalo, “that you might have something to remember me.”  I remember Gonzalo, and his story how his mother, a pregnant teenager from southern Mexico had crossed Mexico that she could give birth in El Paso, getting him birthright US citizenship before she was sent back south by la migra.

    My dentist, whose office had once been occupied by Bat Masterson, a half-block away from a saloon that was once damaged by Cary Nation’s hatchet in a temperance rally.  A few miles to the north, Ludlow, bloody Ludlow, where the striking miners fought back as their tents were targeted by the machine guns of Colorado’s National Guard. 

    Perhaps the memories are no more out of focus than the photograph.

  • Trego and the American Community Survey

    Montana’s American Community Survey is composed from the final interviews conducted with 10,138 households in the state.  Since Montana has 519,935 households, the chance of any household being in the final interview is 10,138 out of 519,935 = 0.0195, right around 2% of the population is included in the survey.  Since Tregp shows 295 households, we can guess that our community data is assembled from somewhere around 6 completed interviews.

    This table about sample sizes is from kenpro.org

    As you will note, a population of 250 calls for 152 samples, and that the break is in the lower right corner – while a sample of 382 covers a population of 75,000, 384 is good for a million.  I’m not going into details about sampling – this is a blog, not a stats class. If enough people ask for the stats instruction, I’ll do another article.  Suffice to say, we can expect the numbers on the ACS to be pretty vague in small communities. So let’s look at the ACS data: data.census.gov

    The top of the page shows:

    Total Population                                           515

    Median Household Income                          $36,458

    Bachelor’s Degree or Higher                       26.1%

    Employment Rate                                        40.2%

    Total Housing Units                                      283

    Without Health Care Coverage                   9.0%

    Total Households                                         249

    As we go further down the page, we start to encounter the variance – the range the number represents.  That 515 population is taken from the decennial census not the ACS. 

    Median Age:    60.5 +/- 3.2 years 

    16.8% of Trego folks speak a language other than English at home – plus or minus 15.4% so that’s somewhere between 6 and 166.  Probably not a particularly useful piece of information.

    That Median Household Income turns out to be plus or minus $8,980: the number can be as much as 24.6% off either way.  It can be as low as $27,478 or as high as $45,438.  As we move into the full chart on that number, we see that the number of households lists the margin of error as plus or minus 67.  Could be as low as 182 or as high as 316. 

    That 26.1% of Trego residents with a bachelor’s degree or more has a 12% margin of error – it could be as low as 14.1% or as high as 38.1%,  It shows 8.1% of our residents holding graduate or professional degrees, but doesn’t give a margin of error there.

    The school board will be pleased to know that 97.8% (plus or minus 6.6%) of our kids are enrolled in Kindergarten to 12th grade.  Might even surprise the County Superintendent.  Pretty sure some kids out there are home-schooled.

    That 40.2% employment rate (+/- 12.9%) looks low – but I guess it fits right in with a median age over 60 and 31.1% (+/-9.4%) disability. 

    And finally, there are 48 women 15 to 50 years old – but the margin of error is 38, so it translates to somewhere between 10 and 86.

    The ACS data is good – but the sample for Trego was small, and not checking the limitations lets us make blunders.

  • Feral Kittens

    Feral Kittens

    I glanced out the window this morning to see five feral kittens examining my woodshed.  I carried the first load to the deck this past week, so for the first time, the woodshed is accessible.  It makes a dry place, sheltered from the wind and rain, where the five will probably cuddle together and shelter – being close to the house, it includes the safety of being in a spot safer from coyotes and cougars.  From a survival concept, they’re making a good choice.

    I knew they were there.  I’ve watched their mother, in person and on game cams, as she has hunted in the trees and fields around the house for several years.  This long, hot, dry summer seems to have what she has needed to successfully raise a litter this year.  Now comes the winter – and the half-grown cats are exploring for options they may need in a season they have never experienced.

    In general, I like cats – and these little ferals demonstrate their species’ self-domesticating behaviors.  While the wooded area is showing fewer squirrels, the hayfield and edges of the pond are a smorgasbord of mice, voles and frogs that have also moved into a niche where human habitation has made their existence easier.  The ferals, preying on the nuisance rodents, may well improve my life.  Still, my experience with domestic cats, living indoors and moving into a lap to purr and be petted, makes me feel that these ferals are missing an important part of a cat’s life.

    I understand how the cuteness motivates people to feed the ferals. I’m a grownup.  I won’t do it.  But I’m tempted to put a couple of cardboard boxes in the woodshed.

  • This Year’s Pig Story

    This Year’s Pig Story

    Admittedly, this year’s pig story isn’t nearly as good as last year’s pig story (no coats) but the fact that we have a yearly pig story is interesting.

    This year’s saga (told via facebook) went something along the lines of:

    ‘Oh, interesting pig!’
    Neat type. New to the area. Safely at home behind fence’
    …sometime later…
    ‘Who’s pig is this?’

    ‘Pig Sighted at…’

    ‘Now he’s over here’

    ‘Trailer Court’

    Trego Pub: “Bruce is back, he had a snack. Call us if you need your piggy back.”‘

    ‘In a pen’

    ‘Safely Home’

    Photo courtesy of Mel Warren

    This time, no coats or blankets were needed. And- at least for now- local news regarding pigs is confined to domestics. Feral hogs coming down across the Canadian line remain a concern- if you see any of those, consider using the “Squeal on Pigs” hotline.

  • Off Again, On Again

    Trego School went to distance learning last week- and resumed in person classes this week. More or less the same as last time; a shift to distance learning following the Health and Safety Plan (which is considerably longer and less readable than the first version of it that came out over a year ago), with in-person classes resuming at the earliest possible opportunity.

    The next regularly scheduled board meeting is on Wednesday, the 8th of December, at 4 PM. But folks interested in attending board meetings should watch the calendar– and for notices placed in the post office.

  • How do we Heat our Homes? And for how much?

    How do we Heat our Homes? And for how much?

    According to surveys conducted by the US Census, the breakdown in Trego is as follows:

    • Electricity: Between 18% and 44%
    • Bottled, tank, or LP gas: Between 1% and 20.4%
    • All other Fuels (including wood): Between 44% and 68%

    Those are estimates- and fairly broad at that, but it looks like about half the people in the community are using wood heat. According to NorthWestern Energy’s Estimates for this month, the cost per thermal unit of firewood in a fireplace $1.97, while a wood stove has a cost of only $1.04 per thermal unit -efficiency has its merits.

    Electricity (baseboard) is costing about $3.52 per thermal unit.That’s the highest number on their table of estimates. An Air-Air heat pump still uses electricity, but the cost goes down to $2.27 per thermal unit. An Earth-Air heat pump runs as little as $1.17 per thermal unit. The cost per thermal unit varies a bit for natural gas, depending on the efficiency of the furnace. It could be as much as $1.32 per thermal unit, or as little as $0.94.

    This means that for anyone relying on baseboards- there’s a strong incentive to investigate other sources of heat. Firewood is popular here- but the estimates are for dry firewood. Wet firewood is less efficient, and costs more per thermal unit. The reason is that energy that would otherwise go to heat the house is instead wasted in turning the water within the wood into steam.

    How do we compare to the rest of the state?

    TregoLincoln CountyMontana
    Utility Gas2.8%4.1%51.5%
    Bottled, tank, or LP gas10.8%10.8%13.5%
    Electricity30.5%43.7%26.2%
    Fuel oil, kerosene, etc.0.0%4.7%0.9%
    Coal or Coke0.0%0.0%0.1%
    All other Fuels55.8%35.8%7.6%
    Each number is an Estimate taken from the American Community Survey; It’s survey research, so findings should always be taken with a grain of salt, especially for small populations.

    Well, both Trego and Lincoln County as a whole use considerably less utility gas than the rest of the state. This makes sense- populations tend to be concentrated in urban areas, and those are the areas with the most infrastructure for utility gas. We’re considerably ahead of the rest of the state for “All other Fuels”, which is most definitely wood.

    Why am I so sure that it’s wood? Because the other fuel source that the Census is admitting to lumping into “All other Fuels” is solar. And, with our day length getting shorter and shorter, it seems highly unlikely anyone’s trying to use solar as a primary heat source in our area.