Community

When Congress is for Sale

I saw some comments about NRA buying Congress – and I got to thinking that someone must have the data on who it really is that buys congresscritters.  I got this list from opensecrets.org

Lobbying ClientTotal Spent
AARP$3,530,000
AbbVie Inc$3,980,000
Amazon.com$5,310,000
America’s Health Insurance Plans$4,680,000
American Hospital Assn$6,598,718
American Medical Assn$6,665,000
Blue Cross/Blue Shield$7,572,485
Business Roundtable$4,820,000
Cigna Corp$3,630,000
ConocoPhillips$4,600,000
CTIA$3,660,000
CVS Health$3,720,000
General Motors$4,900,000
Meta$5,390,000
National Assn of Realtors$12,190,052
Northrop Grumman$4,530,000
Pharmaceutical Research & Manufacturers of America$8,285,000
Roche Holdings$3,565,000
United Parcel Service$4,300,000
US Chamber of Commerce$19,060,000

The National Rifle Association didn’t make the big spender list – 19 million for the Chamber of Commerce, 12 million for the Realtor’s – General Motors just a touch under 5 million . . . I think I remember Barack Obama firing the president of GM.  AARP for 3 ½ million . . . and adding up the different health insurance lobbying bills with the hospital association, AMA, and pharmaceutical bill comes to 37.5 million.  I suspect we do have the best health laws money can buy.

Still, Statista says NRA is getting close to making the list – 2021 lobbying expenses went up to 3.31 million dollars, from 2.2 million in 2020.  If this increase in NRA lobbying continues, they may knock AARP off the big spenders spreadsheet.  It will take more effort to dislodge Amazon or UPS.

I don’t have the answers here, or even enough information to come up with a question.  I do have a conclusion – if there wasn’t a payoff to lobbying Congress, these corporations wouldn’t be doing it.  UPS spends 4.3 million bucks lobbying Congress because the investment pays off.  Amazon spends 5.3 million because the investment pays off.

I’m not particularly happy with Wayne LaPierre and his cronies at NRA – the data from New York has convinced me that the management is ripping off the members.  I’m not surprised – Eric Hoffer said “Every great cause begins as a movement, becomes a business, and eventually degenerates into a racket.”

Hoffer was likely correct.  Still health insurance is probably a bigger racket.  I suspect every outfit on the spreadsheet could be improved by a RICO investigation or three.

Community

It Isn’t One Citizen One Vote

When it comes to the House of Representatives, I’m a Constitutional scholar.  Specifically Article 1, Section 2 – “The House of Representatives shall be composed of Members chosen every second Year by the People of the several States, and the Electors in each State shall have the Qualifications requisite for Electors of the most numerous Branch of the State Legislature.

No Person shall be a Representative who shall not have attained to the Age of twenty five Years, and been seven Years a Citizen of the United States, and who shall not, when elected, be an Inhabitant of that State in which he shall be chosen.

(Representatives and direct Taxes shall be apportioned among the several States which may be included within this Union, according to their respective Numbers, which shall be determined by adding to the whole Number of free Persons, including those bound to Service for a Term of Years, and excluding Indians not taxed, three fifths of all other Persons.) (The previous sentence in parentheses was modified by the 14th Amendment, section 2.) The actual Enumeration shall be made within three Years after the first Meeting of the Congress of the United States, and within every subsequent Term of ten Years, in such Manner as they shall by Law direct. The Number of Representatives shall not exceed one for every thirty Thousand, but each State shall have at Least one Representative; and until such enumeration shall be made, the State of New Hampshire shall be entitled to chuse three, Massachusetts eight, Rhode Island and Providence Plantations one, Connecticut five, New York six, New Jersey four, Pennsylvania eight, Delaware one, Maryland six, Virginia ten, North Carolina five, South Carolina five and Georgia three.

When vacancies happen in the Representation from any State, the Executive Authority thereof shall issue Writs of Election to fill such Vacancies.

The House of Representatives shall chuse their Speaker and other Officers; and shall have the sole Power of Impeachment.”

The lines highlighted in yellow govern the decennial Census and apportionment of Congresscritters.  Congresscritters are apportioned according to population – not according to the number of citizens a state has.  As you look at the data, you can see that one out of each seven people represented by a California Congresscritter isn’t a US Citizen. 

If Congress were to pass a law requiring seats in the House of Representatives be apportioned based on citizens instead of population, California would probably lose 5 seats, New York and Florida each 2, and New Jersey  and Illinois 1 each.  Somehow, I don’t think it will happen.

State demographics by citizenship status|
Citizenship status of residents, 2014

 State Total Population NativeForeign-born
Total
Foreign-born
Naturalized
Foreign-born
Non-citizen
Alabama4,817,6784,651,201166,47755,514110,963
 100.0%96.5%3.5%1.2%2.3%
Alaska728,300676,62051,68027,91023,770
 100.0%92.9%7.1%3.8%3.3%
Arizona6,561,5165,677,869883,647339,481544,166
 100.0%86.5%13.5%5.2%8.3%
Arkansas2,947,0362,811,266135,77040,38495,386
 100.0%95.4%4.6%1.4%3.2%
California38,066,92027,776,28410,290,6364,911,8995,378,737
 100.0%73.0%27.0%12.9%14.1%
Colorado5,197,5804,690,377507,203192,391314,812
 100.0%90.2%9.8%3.7%6.1%
Connecticut3,592,0533,101,593490,460235,507254,953
 100.0%86.3%13.7%6.6%7.1%
Delaware917,060840,18176,87935,52741,352
 100.0%91.6%8.4%3.9%4.5%
District of Columbia633,736545,11088,62634,48354,143
 100.0%86.0%14.0%5.4%8.5%
Florida19,361,79215,571,9633,789,8291,960,0091,829,820
 100.0%80.4%19.6%10.1%9.5%
Georgia9,907,7568,945,010962,746371,908590,838
 100.0%90.3%9.7%3.8%6.0%
Hawaii1,392,7041,143,424249,280140,906108,374
 100.0%82.1%17.9%10.1%7.8%
Idaho1,599,4641,503,82995,63534,22961,406
 100.0%94.0%6.0%2.1%3.8%
Illinois12,868,74711,081,8211,786,926838,686948,240
 100.0%86.1%13.9%6.5%7.4%
Indiana6,542,4116,229,726312,685112,699199,986
 100.0%95.2%4.8%1.7%3.1%
Iowa3,078,1162,934,406143,71054,01789,693
 100.0%95.3%4.7%1.8%2.9%
Kansas2,882,9462,687,052195,89468,325127,569
 100.0%93.2%6.8%2.4%4.4%
Kentucky4,383,2724,235,463147,80952,65395,156
 100.0%96.6%3.4%1.2%2.2%
Louisiana4,601,0494,419,407181,64272,250109,392
 100.0%96.1%3.9%1.6%2.4%
Maine1,328,5351,281,40647,12925,63121,498
 100.0%96.5%3.5%1.9%1.6%
Maryland5,887,7765,050,375837,401397,433439,968
 100.0%85.8%14.2%6.8%7.5%
Massachusetts6,657,2915,639,9251,017,366520,931496,435
 100.0%84.7%15.3%7.8%7.5%
Michigan9,889,0249,278,502610,522308,236302,286
 100.0%93.8%6.2%3.1%3.1%
Minnesota5,383,6614,980,116403,545193,791209,754
 100.0%92.5%7.5%3.6%3.9%
Mississippi2,984,3452,917,37466,97123,49843,473
 100.0%97.8%2.2%0.8%1.5%
Missouri6,028,0765,792,081235,995103,033132,962
 100.0%96.1%3.9%1.7%2.2%
Montana1,006,370985,85020,52010,8949,626
 100.0%98.0%2.0%1.1%1.0%
Nebraska1,855,6171,735,200120,41742,72177,696
 100.0%93.5%6.5%2.3%4.2%
Nevada2,761,5842,234,549527,035233,551293,484
 100.0%80.9%19.1%8.5%10.6%
New Hampshire1,321,0691,247,65773,41238,52934,883
 100.0%94.4%5.6%2.9%2.6%
New Jersey8,874,3746,969,9691,904,405989,166915,239
 100.0%78.5%21.5%11.1%10.3%
New Mexico2,080,0851,874,204205,88170,926134,955
 100.0%90.1%9.9%3.4%6.5%
New York19,594,33015,218,3854,375,9452,317,7872,058,158
 100.0%77.7%22.3%11.8%10.5%
North Carolina9,750,4059,009,170741,235240,268500,967
 100.0%92.4%7.6%2.5%5.1%
North Dakota704,925684,37020,5557,48413,071
 100.0%97.1%2.9%1.1%1.9%
Ohio11,560,38011,091,189469,191233,953235,238
 100.0%95.9%4.1%2.0%2.0%
Oklahoma3,818,8513,604,070214,78170,846143,935
 100.0%94.4%5.6%1.9%3.8%
Oregon3,900,3433,516,357383,986150,498233,488
 100.0%90.2%9.8%3.9%6.0%
Pennsylvania12,758,72911,976,626782,103401,469380,634
 100.0%93.9%6.1%3.1%3.0%
Rhode Island1,053,252915,234138,01870,04967,969
 100.0%86.9%13.1%6.7%6.5%
South Carolina4,727,2734,500,820226,45381,502144,951
 100.0%95.2%4.8%1.7%3.1%
South Dakota834,708810,30824,4009,09615,304
 100.0%97.1%2.9%1.1%1.8%
Tennessee6,451,3656,146,570304,795109,057195,738
 100.0%95.3%4.7%1.7%3.0%
Texas26,092,03321,795,0854,296,9481,454,6722,842,276
 100.0%83.5%16.5%5.6%10.9%
Utah2,858,1112,618,427239,68484,697154,987
 100.0%91.6%8.4%3.0%5.4%
Vermont626,358600,17826,18015,20110,979
 100.0%95.8%4.2%2.4%1.8%
Virginia8,185,1317,236,647948,484454,434494,050
 100.0%88.4%11.6%5.6%6.0%
Washington6,899,1235,978,429920,694427,201493,493
 100.0%86.7%13.3%6.2%7.2%
West Virginia1,853,8811,826,34127,54012,96914,571
 100.0%98.5%1.5%0.7%0.8%
Wisconsin5,724,6925,456,268268,424114,684153,740
 100.0%95.3%4.7%2.0%2.7%
Wyoming575,251555,91519,3367,06312,273
 100.0%96.6%3.4%1.2%2.1%
Source: United States Census Bureau, “Selected Characteristics of the Native and Foreign-Born Populations”
Community

Congress Protected Me and Took Away My Asthma Meds

I was a little boy at the time.  I was a little boy with a 39 cent benzedrine inhaler, and I could sniff the inhaler and hold my breath for two minutes.  And then we moved to Montana and my new inhalers didn’t work worth dammit.

I didn’t realize that Congress had protected me and taken the vital ingredient out of the inhaler for another 30 years.  Then, I got sandbagged into teaching the drugs class, and as I researched to prepare myself, I learned.  I realized the timing was a coincidence – they took the vital ingredient out of the inhaler just before we moved to Trego.  Those miserable congresscritters took away a medicinal inhaler that controlled my asthma, and sentenced me to 30 years of sniffling with a usually runny nose.  The article “On a Bender with Benzedrine” showed up in 1946 – and a dozen years later, Congress was busy in DC working to take away my inhaler.

This article tells about the use and misuse of the inhalers before they classified my inhaler as a schedule 2 drug and sentenced me to years of a runny nose, sneezing, and eventually a series of injections to overcome the allergies.  I couldn’t find any record of any congresscritter’s concern about a little boy with allergies to Ponderosa pine pollen, Juniper pollen and Brome Grass pollen. 

They figured that they could save speed freaks lives and never considered the folks with allergies.  Nothing personal – just pointing out that these elected SOBs never considered how important breathing is to a kid.

As I drive and listen to AM radio, I hear public service spots telling what a great job they are doing by not prescribing opiates – yet I read headlines that say “Opioid Deaths Skyrocket Among Teens Due to Fentanyl.”  So we check CDC, and find out just how much of the opiate deaths are fentanyl, and then look at the states where opioid deaths are on a major increase.  People aren’t overdosing on Tylenol 3 and the big increases are in Louisiana and DC.

I think I can come up with a better bunch of folks to protect me than Congress. 

Community

Thinking Government- Machiavelli

 Max Weber provided the simplest definition: “A government is an institution that holds a monopoly on the legitimate use of violence.”  Another, fancier way he phrased it is “A state is a human community that (successfully) claims the monopoly of the legitimate use of physical force within a given territory.”  I kind of like using Weber’s perspectives on government and bureaucracy.

One of the classic writers on government was Machiavelli. 

I must at the beginning observe that some of the writers on politics distinguished three kinds of government, viz., the monarchical, the aristocratic, and the democratic; and maintain that the legislators of a people must choose from these three the one that seems most suitable.  Other authors, wiser according to the opinion of many, count six kinds of government, three of which are very bad, and three good in themselves, but so liable to be corrupted that they become absolutely bad.  The three good ones are those we just named, the three bad ones result from the degradation of the other three, and each of them resembles its corresponding original, so that the transition from the one to the other is very easy.

Thus monarchy becomes tyranny; aristocracy lapses into oligarchy; and the popular government lapses readily into licentiousness.  So that a legislator who gives to a state which he founds, either of these three forms of government, constitutes it but for a brief time; for no precautions can prevent either one of the three that are reputed good, from degenerating into its opposite kind, so great are in those attractions and resemblances between the good and the evil.”

 Niccolo Machiavelli, Discourses

There is more to Machiavelli than his simple quotations – but I’ll end with one: “Princes and governments are far more dangerous than other elements within society.” Niccolo Machiavelli

A Science for Everyone, Community

The Shadow Economy

There are some confusing terms about the economy.  Household production fits in with the things that you do for yourself that makes life a bit better.  “Underground economy” and “shadow economy” refer to transactions that could be considered black market.  Some things – drugs, prostitution, stolen merchandise – are in the underground economy practically by definition.  Other items can be either in the regular economy or in the shadow economy.”

“Italy also has a sizable underground economy, which by some estimates accounts for as much as 17% of GDP. These activities are most common within the agriculture, construction, and service sectors.”  This gives us the idea that it isn’t just an illegal immigrant involved.  The underground economy can include otherwise respectable citizens.”

https://internationalliving.com/countries/italy/the-economy-in-italy/

Household production isn’t mentioned in the analysis – but here, in northwest Montana, a single product provides an example – firewood.  It benefits me to report the money that comes in from firewood sales.  It helps me qualify as a farm, and make deducting expenses and depreciation possible.  As household production, it probably cuts down the cost of heat by $700 – $1000 each winter.  For others, it’s an underground economy, advertised on facebook, unreported to the government.  The definition and source follows:

Investopedia puts the underground economy at 11 or 12% of the gross domestic product in the US. California’s Attorney General has an “Underground Economy Unit” and lists restaurants, janitorial work, the garment industry, retail, construction and car washes as the industries most impacted by wage theft. I don’t know – I recall talking about the US underground economy with a grad student.  With a student visa, he wasn’t allowed to work in the US – yet he had held a job somewhere in the southern US, in a business owned or managed by an Indian national, who sent the paycheck to his father in yet another country.  I think the term “wage theft” in that case would be accurate if you only looked at US records – and I doubt if it was reported to the IRS.

The Institute of Economic Affairs uses the term “shadow economy” and describes: “The main drivers of the shadow economy are (in order): tax and social security burdens, tax morale, the quality of state institutions and labour market regulation. A reduction in the tax burden is therefore likely to lead to a reduction in the size of the shadow economy. Indeed, a virtuous circle can 
be created of lower tax rates, less shadow work, higher tax morale, a higher tax take and the opportunity for lower rates. Of course, a vicious circle in the other direction can also be created.”

They go on to describe Denmark, where about half the population hires “shadow” workers.  Much of the “shadow economy” they describe is labor from people who have a regular job, performing a non-deductible service for other private parties.  The “shadow economy” is as much, or more, a place for our neighbors as for illegal migrants.

“In Canada, Schneider (2005) found similar reactions of people facing an increase in indirect taxes (VAT, GST). After the introduction of the GST in 1991 in Canada, in the midst of a recession, the individuals, suffering economic hardship because of the recession, turned to the informal economy, which led to a substantial loss in tax revenue. Unfortunately, once shadow economy habit is developed, it is unlikely that it will be abandoned merely because economic growth resumes (Schneider, 2005). The People who engage in shadow economic activities may not return to the formal sector, even in the long run. This fact makes it even more difficult for policymakers to carry out major reforms because they may not gain a lot from the reforms.”

https://www.usi.edu/media/3654690/Shadow-Economy.pdf

Nearly 6 years ago, California passed legislation allowing legal marijuana sales – yet somewhere around 85% of the marijuana sold in California today is still in the “traditional” market – that’s right.  Despite having laws and a system that allows for legalized sales, the illegal market provides 5 times as much marijuana to users than the legal market. 

Community, Wildlife

Montana Moves to Control Burgeoning Wolf Population

The Reintroduction of Wolves into Montana has been very successful, from only about 60 in the state in the 1990’s to estimates of over a thousand today. The State Government has recently passed a law to reduce the wolf population.

Here’s Dean Weingarten’s writing on the topic:

On 20 August, 2021, the Montana Fish & Wildlife Commission voted to follow the intent of bill SB315, passed by the legislature and signed into law by Governor Greg Gianforte, on 30 April, 2021. SB314 was passed with the goal of reducing the wolf population while maintaining a minimum of 15 breeding pairs or 300 wolves in Montana. The 15 breeding pairs or 300 wolves are mandated to keep the wolf in Montana from being re-listed as an endangered species by the Federal government.

Re-listing would remove management of the wolf population from state control. The bill passed 62 to 35 in the House, 29 to 20 in the Senate, and was signed by Montana Governor Greg Gianforte on 30 April, 2021. From ktvq.com:

After a public comment period that drew more than 26,000 comments, the Montana Fish & Wildlife Commission at its August 20 meeting adopted several changes to the 2021/2022 wolf hunting and trapping regulations.

Changes include eliminating quotas, increasing the number of wolf trapping and hunting licenses allowed for individual hunters, extending wolf trapping seasons, and the allowance of snares for trapping wolves.


Here is a summation of the rule changes, from a transcript of the Commission adoption of Wolf Harvest rules for 2021-2022.

There is no quota for the number of wolves to be harvested. A review of the harvest by the Fish & Wildlife Commission is required when 450 wolves are reported as taken. Another review will be triggered whenever an additional 50 wolves are harvested.

Wolf trappers are allowed a total of 10 wolves for the season. Wolf hunters have to buy a license for each wolf taken, with a limit of 10 licenses per hunter. There are limitations on what type of snares can be used. Spring powered snares are allowed on private land, but not on public land. Limitations on the snares used are designed to prevent the death of non-target species. Night hunting for wolves, with artificial lights and/or night vision devices, is allowed on private land.

When wolves are harvested, the harvest is required to be reported to the Fish, Wildlife and Parks (FWP) within 24 hours. A review of the harvest will be triggered if a grizzly bear or lynx is captured in a snare or trap.

In most parts of Montana, the wolf season will start on the first Monday after Thanksgiving to March 15. FWP is given the authority to delay the season start in those districts designated as Grizzly Bear Recovery Zones, but the season cannot be delayed later than 15 December, when most bears are expected to be denned up and hibernating. Grizzly Bear Recovery Zones are a small part of the state.

From 2012 to 2019 the average annual wolf harvest in Montana was 242 wolves. In 2020, the harvest was 328 wolves. The wolf population in Montana has been estimated at 1200 wolves.

The foremost wolf expert in the field, David Mech, suggested 50% of wolves over 5-10 months old need to be harvested each year to keep a stable population. Others suggested the number could be as low as 30%. From Wolf population dynamics (state of the art) p. 184:

Mech (1970, 63-64) suggested that over 50% of the wolves over 5-10 months old must be killed each year to control a wolf population, basing his estimate on Rausch’s (1967) age structure data on over 4,000 harvested Alaskan wolves. Because these wolves were killed in fall and winter, the 50% kill figure would have been in addition to natural mortality from birth to 5-10 months of age. Keith (1983) reevaluated the proposed 50% kill figure by assembling data from several field studies. He concluded that the figure should be less than 30%, including a precautionary hedge. However, the data he used (Keith 1983, table 8) included populations that may have been stationary when 41% were taken, and declining populations with a 58%-70% take. These data do not conflict with the 50% figure.


The Commission adopted the changes on a 3 to 2 vote. Elections have consequences. From mtpr.org:

Pat Byorth voted against the proposal. Byorth is the only commissioner who is a holdover appointee from former Gov. Steve Bullock; the rest of the commission was appointed by Gov. Greg Gianforte. Byorth said the new measures run at odds to long-established hunting ethics and fair chase in Montana.


If the commission is to follow the law, they need to reduce the wolf population. A harvest of 450 wolves would be a step in the right direction. To reach a harvest of 450 wolves, the commission loosened some of the many restrictions on wolf hunting and trapping.

Whether the removal of those restrictions will be enough to reach the minimum goal of 450 wolves harvested will become known in the 2021-22 wolf season.

The Wisconsin Natural Resources Board reached a similar conclusion to the Montana Fish & Wildlife Commission in 2021. The Wisconsin Board increased the wolf harvest goal in to 300, in an attempt to reduce the burgeoning number of wolves in the state.

Grey wolves migrated from northern Alaska to what is now Canada, the lower 48 states, and South America about 10,000 to 13,000 years ago. The migration of man to the same area may have happened that late. There are persistent archeological indications man may have preceded the wolf by thousands of years.

As long as the grey wolf has existed in most of Alaska, Canada, the lower 48 states and South America, they have been in competition with man for prey. Before the grey wolf became established, the dire wolf, the sabre toothed tiger, and the short faced bear became extinct. Many think man was the cause of that extinction.

©2021 by Dean Weingarten: Permission to share is granted when this notice and link are included. http://gunwatch.blogspot.com/2021/09/montana-moves-to-control-burgeoning.html

Community

Back at Tester

Last week I got a few comments telling me how vile the authors figured Jon Tester is.  Now it may just be that I have a soft spot for fat men, or it may be a strong belief that virtue is relevant.  Still, I clipped from Wikipedia (no point in finding a more impressive source for the same data)

Below is the current line of succession for the President of the United States:

No.OfficeIncumbent
1Vice PresidentKamala HarrisDemocrat
2Speaker of the House of RepresentativesNancy PelosiDemocrat
3President pro tempore of the SenatePatrick LeahyDemocrat
4Secretary of StateAntony BlinkenDemocrat
5Secretary of the TreasuryJanet YellenDemocrat
6Secretary of DefenseLloyd AustinDemocrat
7Attorney GeneralMerrick GarlandDemocrat
8Secretary of the InteriorDeb HaalandDemocrat
9Secretary of AgricultureTom VilsackDemocrat
10Secretary of CommerceGina RaimondoDemocrat
11Secretary of LaborMarty WalshDemocrat
12Secretary of Health and Human ServicesXavier BecerraDemocrat
13Secretary of Housing and Urban DevelopmentMarcia FudgeDemocrat
14Secretary of TransportationPete ButtigiegDemocrat
Secretary of EnergyJennifer Granholm[A]Democrat
15Secretary of EducationMiguel CardonaDemocrat
16Secretary of Veterans AffairsDenis McDonoughDemocrat
Secretary of Homeland SecurityAlejandro Mayorkas[B]Democrat  
https://simple.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_line_of_succession

Nothing personal folks, but I had to get down to number 9 on the list, Tom Vilsack, before I found anyone who seemed to equal Jon Tester’s morality and ability. 

Community, Laws, Ordinances & Regulations

Why Did it Have to be …Guns?

Why Did it Have to be … Guns?

by L. Neil Smith

lneil@lneilsmith.org

Over the past 30 years, I’ve been paid to write almost two million words, every one of which, sooner or later, came back to the issue of guns and gun-ownership. Naturally, I’ve thought about the issue a lot, and it has always determined the way I vote.

People accuse me of being a single-issue writer, a single- issue thinker, and a single- issue voter, but it isn’t true. What I’ve chosen, in a world where there’s never enough time and energy, is to focus on the one political issue which most clearly and unmistakably demonstrates what any politician—or political philosophy—is made of, right down to the creamy liquid center.

Make no mistake: all politicians—even those ostensibly on the side of guns and gun ownership—hate the issue and anyone, like me, who insists on bringing it up. They hate it because it’s an X-ray machine. It’s a Vulcan mind-meld. It’s the ultimate test to which any politician—or political philosophy—can be put.

If a politician isn’t perfectly comfortable with the idea of his average constituent, any man, woman, or responsible child, walking into a hardware store and paying cash—for any rifle, shotgun, handgun, machinegun, anything—without producing ID or signing one scrap of paper, he isn’t your friend no matter what he tells you.

If he isn’t genuinely enthusiastic about his average constituent stuffing that weapon into a purse or pocket or tucking it under a coat and walking home without asking anybody’s permission, he’s a four-flusher, no matter what he claims.

What his attitude—toward your ownership and use of weapons—conveys is his real attitude about you. And if he doesn’t trust you, then why in the name of John Moses Browning should you trust him?

If he doesn’t want you to have the means of defending your life, do you want him in a position to control it?

If he makes excuses about obeying a law he’s sworn to uphold and defend—the highest law of the land, the Bill of Rights—do you want to entrust him with anything?

If he ignores you, sneers at you, complains about you, or defames you, if he calls you names only he thinks are evil—like “Constitutionalist”—when you insist that he account for himself, hasn’t he betrayed his oath, isn’t he unfit to hold office, and doesn’t he really belong in jail?

Sure, these are all leading questions. They’re the questions that led me to the issue of guns and gun ownership as the clearest and most unmistakable demonstration of what any given politician—or political philosophy—is really made of.

He may lecture you about the dangerous weirdos out there who shouldn’t have a gun—but what does that have to do with you? Why in the name of John Moses Browning should you be made to suffer for the misdeeds of others? Didn’t you lay aside the infantile notion of group punishment when you left public school—or the military? Isn’t it an essentially European notion, anyway—Prussian, maybe—and certainly not what America was supposed to be all about?

And if there are dangerous weirdos out there, does it make sense to deprive you of the means of protecting yourself from them? Forget about those other people, those dangerous weirdos, this is about you, and it has been, all along.

Try it yourself: if a politician won’t trust you, why should you trust him? If he’s a man—and you’re not—what does his lack of trust tell you about his real attitude toward women? If “he” happens to be a woman, what makes her so perverse that she’s eager to render her fellow women helpless on the mean and seedy streets her policies helped create? Should you believe her when she says she wants to help you by imposing some infantile group health care program on you at the point of the kind of gun she doesn’t want you to have?

On the other hand—or the other party—should you believe anything politicians say who claim they stand for freedom, but drag their feet and make excuses about repealing limits on your right to own and carry weapons? What does this tell you about their real motives for ignoring voters and ramming through one infantile group trade agreement after another with other countries?

Makes voting simpler, doesn’t it? You don’t have to study every issue—health care, international trade—all you have to do is use this X-ray machine, this Vulcan mind-meld, to get beyond their empty words and find out how politicians really feel. About you. And that, of course, is why they hate it.

And that’s why I’m accused of being a single-issue writer, thinker, and voter.

But it isn’t true, is it?

“Permission to redistribute this article is herewith granted by the author—provided that it is reproduced unedited, in its entirety, and appropriate credit given.”

L. Neil Smith passed away recently – for folks who are unfamiliar with his writings, many are available at https://lneilsmith.org/   It’s worth checking out.  I’ve learned that few of these blogs live longer than a year past the author, and Neil Smith was worth reading.

A Science for Everyone, Community

Inflation Since 1914

Looking at our nation’s deficit spending, I got thinking back to the Carter years, the high inflation and the high interest.  Then I decided to grab a table or a chart to see how things looked from a historical perspective.  This chart give inflation figures from 1914:

Found at macrotrends.net

It turns out that our highest inflation was under Woodrow Wilson.  20.44% in 1918 – 18.1% in 1917, and 12.62% in 1916.  Back then we were on the gold standard – yet the price of gold remained at $20.67 from 1910 through the twenties.  During the worst years of the great depression, inflation (deflation?) was about -10%. 

Carter’s highest year – 1979 – saw 13.29% inflation . . . and to be fair, Carter inherited a good portion of his challenges from Nixon – whose highest (and final) year was 1974 at 12.34% inflation.  Trump’s last year, 2020, had only 1.34% inflation.  Biden’s at 4.31% on this chart, and we’re not through 2021 yet.  Still, it will be a challenge to top Woodrow Wilson.

Above the chart is this statement “Interactive chart showing the annual rate of inflation in the United States as measured by the Consumer Price Index back to 1914. The current rate of U.S. CPI inflation as of August 2021 is 271.70.”  As I write this, the net tells me that I can buy gold for as low as $1827 per ounce.  Dividing that by $20.67 shows that the price of gold has only increased by a factor of 88.39. 

C.P. Snow described the second law of thermodynamics as “You can’t win, you can’t break even, and you can’t quit the game.”  Who says physics can’t be applied to government?

Community, Demography

What is a Farm

A dozen years ago, I wrote “What is a Farm” and now I have one.

The bottom line that defines a farm is production.  “The current definition, first used for the 1974 census, is any place from which $1,000 or more of agricultural products were produced and sold, or normally would have been sold, during the census year. (1992 Census of Agriculture).”  It’s kind of fun to be able to quote myself, and find that the commentary is still accurate 12 years later.

This July, I harvested 275 little round bales of grass hay, and stored them in the log shed.  I figure if I sell them at $4 each, the place makes the minimum to be a farm.  Logically, that makes me a farmer, for the first time in my life.  I remember seeing a neighbor in Ag Hall when I worked for Extension – and commenting to Todd that he was the first farmer I had seen in that building . . . to be fair, I hadn’t worked in Ag Hall all that long.  Now that I’m a farmer I do have to sell those cute little bales to actually qualify.

Since I’ve already done the research, I can help others determine if they also qualify: “The definition also makes it easy to be a “small farmer”: if a family has a couple dozen hens and eats organic eggs from its own free-range chickens, the family probably produces enough to be living on a farm. Similarly, a two-Holstein-steer feedlot with all purchased feed can meet the definition of a farm. Obviously, a large hog confinement facility is a farm, even if it lacks plows and fields.” 

This table shows how the government’s definition of a farm has changed over time: